Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability in the nonpartisan Newark mayoral election set for May 12, driven by his strong name recognition from three prior terms, recent State of the City address highlighting progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing, and a fragmented field of eight low-profile challengers lacking credible fundraising or polling traction. Nasheedah Singleton trails distantly at 4.4% amid 42 total candidates vying for ten municipal seats, with others like Douglas Davis and Debra Salters at 2.9%. A letter from a dozen challengers last week requesting U.S. Department of Justice monitoring for potential fraud or intimidation has generated buzz but failed to dent Baraka's lead, reflecting skepticism over opposition viability. Voter registration closes April 21.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.4%
Douglas Davis 3.6%
Debra Salters 3.2%
$10,646 交易量
$10,646 交易量
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
4%
Debra Salters
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.4%
Douglas Davis 3.6%
Debra Salters 3.2%
$10,646 交易量
$10,646 交易量
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
4%
Debra Salters
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
市場開放時間: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability in the nonpartisan Newark mayoral election set for May 12, driven by his strong name recognition from three prior terms, recent State of the City address highlighting progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing, and a fragmented field of eight low-profile challengers lacking credible fundraising or polling traction. Nasheedah Singleton trails distantly at 4.4% amid 42 total candidates vying for ten municipal seats, with others like Douglas Davis and Debra Salters at 2.9%. A letter from a dozen challengers last week requesting U.S. Department of Justice monitoring for potential fraud or intimidation has generated buzz but failed to dent Baraka's lead, reflecting skepticism over opposition viability. Voter registration closes April 21.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions