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德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率

Market icon

德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率

60萬–90萬 48%

120萬–150萬 30%

240萬–270萬 24.0%

210萬–240萬 21%

Polymarket
最新

60萬–90萬 48%

120萬–150萬 30%

240萬–270萬 24.0%

210萬–240萬 21%

Polymarket
最新

<0.6M

$0 交易量

10%

60萬–90萬

$0 交易量

37%

90萬–120萬

$379 交易量

21%

120萬–150萬

$3,693 交易量

30%

150萬–180萬

$0 交易量

19%

180萬–210萬

$38 交易量

20%

210萬–240萬

$0 交易量

21%

240萬–270萬

$124 交易量

15%

270萬以上

$0 交易量

19%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 0.6–0.9 million votes at 37% implied probability in the Texas Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by historical precedents where turnout plunges 50–70% from initial primaries—here from the March 3 GOP primary's record 2.16 million ballots—due to voter fatigue and fewer contested races. The high-stakes U.S. Senate runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps mid-range buckets like 1.2–1.5 million viable at 30%, as recent polls (e.g., Quantus Insights March 24 showing Paxton 49–41) signal base enthusiasm amid heavy campaign spending. Tight odds reflect uncertainty over GOTV mobilization, with Paxton's edge among Trump-aligned voters and Cornyn's establishment support; early voting starting May 16 and potential endorsements could push toward higher turnout.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,233
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 0.6–0.9 million votes at 37% implied probability in the Texas Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by historical precedents where turnout plunges 50–70% from initial primaries—here from the March 3 GOP primary's record 2.16 million ballots—due to voter fatigue and fewer contested races. The high-stakes U.S. Senate runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps mid-range buckets like 1.2–1.5 million viable at 30%, as recent polls (e.g., Quantus Insights March 24 showing Paxton 49–41) signal base enthusiasm amid heavy campaign spending. Tight odds reflect uncertainty over GOTV mobilization, with Paxton's edge among Trump-aligned voters and Cornyn's establishment support; early voting starting May 16 and potential endorsements could push toward higher turnout.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,233
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60萬–90萬" at 37%, followed by "120萬–150萬" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率" is "60萬–90萬" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "120萬–150萬" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德克薩斯州參議院共和黨初選決選的投票率" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.