Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於60萬–90萬 48%
120萬–150萬 31%
240萬–270萬 24.0%
210萬–240萬 21%
最新
最新
2026-05-26
<0.6M
13%
60萬–90萬
37%
90萬–120萬
21%
120萬–150萬
31%
150萬–180萬
19%
180萬–210萬
20%
210萬–240萬
21%
240萬–270萬
15%
270萬以上
19%
60萬–90萬 48%
120萬–150萬 31%
240萬–270萬 24.0%
210萬–240萬 21%
最新
最新
2026-05-26
<0.6M
$0 交易量
13%
60萬–90萬
$0 交易量
37%
90萬–120萬
$379 交易量
21%
120萬–150萬
$3,693 交易量
31%
150萬–180萬
$0 交易量
19%
180萬–210萬
$38 交易量
20%
210萬–240萬
$0 交易量
21%
240萬–270萬
$124 交易量
15%
270萬以上
$0 交易量
19%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間： Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$4,233結束日期
2026-05-26市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,233結束日期
2026-05-26市場開放時間
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices turnout in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff at 37% for 0.6–0.9 million voters and 31% for 1.2–1.5 million, reflecting historical patterns of sharp declines—often 40–70% drops—from the March 3 primary's record GOP turnout exceeding 1.2 million, driven by voter fatigue after a high-engagement first round pitting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn against Attorney General Ken Paxton. The tight clustering underscores uncertainty over base mobilization in this polarized contest, with Paxton's recent polling edge (53–37%) offset by uneven enthusiasm among establishment and conservative voting blocs. Separation could emerge from a Trump endorsement, intensified get-out-the-vote operations ahead of the April 27 registration deadline, or early voting trends starting May 18, amid potential dilution from other statewide runoffs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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