德州參議院選舉對決

Name: 德州參議院選舉對決
Start: 2026-02-19T00:51:27.981Z
End: 2026-03-03T00:00:00.000Z

德州參議院選舉對決 — 討論

JJx3 · 2026-02-19T00:51:27.981Z

關於德州參議院選舉對決的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·德克薩斯州參議院

德州參議院選舉對決

塔拉里科與帕克斯頓 64%

塔拉里科與科寧 33%

其他 <1%

Crockett 和 Paxton <1%

$646,423 交易量

2026-03-03

塔拉里科與帕克斯頓

$241,179 交易量

64%

塔拉里科與科寧

$165,846 交易量

33%

其他

$26,364 交易量

Crockett 和 Paxton

$103,836 交易量

克羅克特與科寧

$64,035 交易量

<1%

塔拉里科與亨特

$22,572 交易量

<1%

Crockett 與 Hunt

$22,592 交易量

<1%

塔拉里科與帕克斯頓 64%

塔拉里科與科寧 33%

其他 <1%

Crockett 和 Paxton <1%

$646,423 交易量

2026-03-03

塔拉里科與帕克斯頓

$241,179 交易量

64%

塔拉里科與科寧

$165,846 交易量

33%

其他

$26,364 交易量

Crockett 和 Paxton

$103,836 交易量

克羅克特與科寧

$64,035 交易量

<1%

塔拉里科與亨特

$22,572 交易量

<1%

Crockett 與 Hunt

$22,592 交易量

<1%

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"德州參議院選舉對決" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "塔拉里科與帕克斯頓" at 64%, followed by "塔拉里科與科寧" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "德州參議院選舉對決" has generated $646.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "德州參議院選舉對決," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "德州參議院選舉對決" is "塔拉里科與帕克斯頓" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塔拉里科與科寧" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "德州參議院選舉對決" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "德州參議院選舉對決." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $646.4K traded on “德州參議院選舉對決,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "德州參議院選舉對決," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 64¢ for "塔拉里科與帕克斯頓" in the "德州參議院選舉對決" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 64% chance that "塔拉里科與帕克斯頓" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 64¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 36¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "德州參議院選舉對決" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "德州參議院選舉對決" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "德州參議院選舉對決." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

德州參議院選舉對決

德州參議院選舉對決

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (3)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "德州參議院選舉對決" prediction market?

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What does a price of 64¢ for "塔拉里科與帕克斯頓" mean?

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