Market icon
選舉·主要

佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

拜倫·唐納茲 92%

詹姆斯·費什巴克 8%

傑伊·柯林斯 1.2%

凱西·德桑蒂斯 <1%

Polymarket

$1,224,513 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲 92%

詹姆斯·費什巴克 8%

傑伊·柯林斯 1.2%

凱西·德桑蒂斯 <1%

Polymarket

$1,224,513 交易量

拜倫·唐納茲

$85,262 交易量

92%

詹姆斯·費什巴克

$297,994 交易量

8%

傑伊·柯林斯

$613,998 交易量

1%

凱西·德桑蒂斯

$168,355 交易量

1%

威爾頓·辛普森

$13,670 交易量

<1%

馬特·蓋茨

$19,964 交易量

<1%

Jimmy Patronis

$25,270 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll (March 29-31) showing him at 46% among likely voters—well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and investor James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and his record $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul, pushing totals over $67 million since announcing in early 2025. President Trump's early endorsement, plus backing from Sen. Rick Scott and others, bolsters his frontrunner status in the post-DeSantis race. Realistic challenges include a high-profile late entrant like Casey DeSantis, endorsement shifts, or attack ads eroding his lead as undecideds consolidate before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,224,513
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Florida's open Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, 2026, driven by a fresh Emerson College poll (March 29-31) showing him at 46% among likely voters—well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and investor James Fishback at 4% each amid 39% undecided—and his record $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul, pushing totals over $67 million since announcing in early 2025. President Trump's early endorsement, plus backing from Sen. Rick Scott and others, bolsters his frontrunner status in the post-DeSantis race. Realistic challenges include a high-profile late entrant like Casey DeSantis, endorsement shifts, or attack ads eroding his lead as undecideds consolidate before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,224,513
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拜倫·唐納茲" at 92%, followed by "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "拜倫·唐納茲" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "詹姆斯·費什巴克" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佛羅裏達州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.