Trader consensus in the SD-AL Democratic primary market strongly favors Nikki Gronli at 76% implied probability ahead of the June 2 primary, reflecting her prominent background as former USDA Rural Development Director for South Dakota and recent Secretary of State validation of her petitions on April 2, securing her ballot placement. Billy Mawhiney's February 16 withdrawal has likely consolidated support behind Gronli, dropping his odds to 2.1%, while Scott Schlagel lingers at 10.5% amid lower name recognition and earlier filing without similar momentum. Absent public polls in this low-turnout contest, early voting begins April 17, with party consolidation dynamics favoring the frontrunner in South Dakota's at-large district primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Nikki Gronli 76%
Scott Schlagel 10%
Billy Mawhiney 2.1%
Nikki Gronli
76%
Scott Schlagel
10%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
Nikki Gronli 76%
Scott Schlagel 10%
Billy Mawhiney 2.1%
Nikki Gronli
76%
Scott Schlagel
10%
Billy Mawhiney
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the SD-AL Democratic primary market strongly favors Nikki Gronli at 76% implied probability ahead of the June 2 primary, reflecting her prominent background as former USDA Rural Development Director for South Dakota and recent Secretary of State validation of her petitions on April 2, securing her ballot placement. Billy Mawhiney's February 16 withdrawal has likely consolidated support behind Gronli, dropping his odds to 2.1%, while Scott Schlagel lingers at 10.5% amid lower name recognition and earlier filing without similar momentum. Absent public polls in this low-turnout contest, early voting begins April 17, with party consolidation dynamics favoring the frontrunner in South Dakota's at-large district primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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