Market icon
選舉·參議院初選

南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·參議院初選

南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Mike Rounds 95%

Justin McNeal 2.4%

Kristi Noem 2.1%

Polymarket

$20,083 交易量

Mike Rounds 95%

Justin McNeal 2.4%

Kristi Noem 2.1%

Polymarket

$20,083 交易量

Mike Rounds

$3,809 交易量

95%

Justin McNeal

$14,077 交易量

2%

Kristi Noem

$2,196 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his strong reelection announcement in January and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout primaries, where established name recognition and party support typically prevail. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's grassroots challenge launched March 2 has drawn minimal traction as a political newcomer, while speculation surged after ex-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 firing amid controversies, though insiders deem her Senate bid unlikely amid her federal role transition. Trader consensus reflects scant polling or fundraising shifts favoring challengers, but a high-profile Noem entry, Rounds scandal, or MAGA mobilization could disrupt this path-to-victory.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$20,083
結束日期
2026-06-28
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Mike Rounds holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his strong reelection announcement in January and historical incumbency advantages in the deep-red state's low-turnout primaries, where established name recognition and party support typically prevail. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's grassroots challenge launched March 2 has drawn minimal traction as a political newcomer, while speculation surged after ex-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 firing amid controversies, though insiders deem her Senate bid unlikely amid her federal role transition. Trader consensus reflects scant polling or fundraising shifts favoring challengers, but a high-profile Noem entry, Rounds scandal, or MAGA mobilization could disrupt this path-to-victory.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$20,083
結束日期
2026-06-28
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rounds" at 95%, followed by "Justin McNeal" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Mike Rounds" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin McNeal" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南達科他州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.