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政治·主要

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Ed Markey 87%

塞斯·莫爾頓 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.5%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
最新

Ed Markey 87%

塞斯·莫爾頓 12%

Ayanna Pressley 2.5%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket
最新

Ed Markey

$3,206 交易量

87%

塞斯·莫爾頓

$1,255 交易量

12%

Ayanna Pressley

$0 交易量

3%

Alexander Rikleen

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 86.5% trader consensus in the September 1 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, consistent polling leads over Rep. Seth Moulton (aggregated 41% to 25% margin as of early 2026), and robust progressive base support demonstrated by Rep. Ayanna Pressley's March endorsement after declining her own bid. Moulton, at 12%, positions himself as a generational change candidate criticizing Markey's age but trails amid competitive fundraising where he holds a slight cash-on-hand edge; recent UNH polling shows Markey ahead 35%-23%. Alex Rikleen lingers at 0.3% despite minor poll mentions. No major catalysts in the past 30 days, with odds stable ahead of campaign intensification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,461
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey commands 86.5% trader consensus in the September 1 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, consistent polling leads over Rep. Seth Moulton (aggregated 41% to 25% margin as of early 2026), and robust progressive base support demonstrated by Rep. Ayanna Pressley's March endorsement after declining her own bid. Moulton, at 12%, positions himself as a generational change candidate criticizing Markey's age but trails amid competitive fundraising where he holds a slight cash-on-hand edge; recent UNH polling shows Markey ahead 35%-23%. Alex Rikleen lingers at 0.3% despite minor poll mentions. No major catalysts in the past 30 days, with odds stable ahead of campaign intensification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,461
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ed Markey" at 87%, followed by "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Ed Markey" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "塞斯·莫爾頓" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "麻薩諸塞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.