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選舉·主要

路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Jamie Davis Jr. 69%

尼克·阿爾巴雷斯 21%

Gary Crockett 5.1%

特雷西·伯克 3.5%

Polymarket

$36,823 交易量

Jamie Davis Jr. 69%

尼克·阿爾巴雷斯 21%

Gary Crockett 5.1%

特雷西·伯克 3.5%

Polymarket

$36,823 交易量

Jamie Davis Jr.

$14,371 交易量

66%

尼克·阿爾巴雷斯

$100 交易量

21%

Gary Crockett

$0 交易量

5%

特雷西·伯克

$5,529 交易量

3%

賈巴里·沃克

$16,823 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis Jr. leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability in the Louisiana Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by the Louisiana Democratic State Central Committee's official endorsement on March 22, signaling party establishment support for the third-generation farmer and committee member from Tensas Parish, who entered the race first in December 2025. Nick Albares trails at 20%, buoyed by recent media appearances including a March 27 interview on This Week in Louisiana Politics, leveraging his background as a former policy adviser to Gov. John Bel Edwards and state fiscal analyst. With no public polls available, the closed primary favors endorsed candidates amid low expected turnout, ahead of early voting May 2-9; minor contenders like Gary Crockett (4.6%) and Tracie Burke (3.5%) lag due to limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$36,823
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jamie Davis Jr. leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability in the Louisiana Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by the Louisiana Democratic State Central Committee's official endorsement on March 22, signaling party establishment support for the third-generation farmer and committee member from Tensas Parish, who entered the race first in December 2025. Nick Albares trails at 20%, buoyed by recent media appearances including a March 27 interview on This Week in Louisiana Politics, leveraging his background as a former policy adviser to Gov. John Bel Edwards and state fiscal analyst. With no public polls available, the closed primary favors endorsed candidates amid low expected turnout, ahead of early voting May 2-9; minor contenders like Gary Crockett (4.6%) and Tracie Burke (3.5%) lag due to limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$36,823
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jamie Davis Jr." at 66%, followed by "尼克·阿爾巴雷斯" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $36.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Jamie Davis Jr." at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尼克·阿爾巴雷斯" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "路易斯安那州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.