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選舉·主要

西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

謝利·摩爾·卡皮托 97.8%

Tom Willis 1.6%

亞歷山大·加塞魯德 <1%

Polymarket

$14,942 交易量

謝利·摩爾·卡皮托 97.8%

Tom Willis 1.6%

亞歷山大·加塞魯德 <1%

Polymarket

$14,942 交易量

謝利·摩爾·卡皮托

$5,827 交易量

98%

Tom Willis

$4,013 交易量

2%

亞歷山大·加塞魯德

$5,103 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding position in the West Virginia Republican Senate primary stems from her strong record since 2015, including recent endorsement from the WV Chamber PAC on March 24 signaling business community support amid challengers' limited traction. State Senator Tom Willis and Alexander Gaaserud, who filed earlier this year and recently pitched at local events, remain longshots due to fundraising gaps and lack of statewide name recognition, with no public polling challenging her lead ahead of the May 12 primary. Trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in safe Republican primaries, though a late scandal, major rival endorsement, or health issue could theoretically shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$14,942
結束日期
2026-05-12
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding position in the West Virginia Republican Senate primary stems from her strong record since 2015, including recent endorsement from the WV Chamber PAC on March 24 signaling business community support amid challengers' limited traction. State Senator Tom Willis and Alexander Gaaserud, who filed earlier this year and recently pitched at local events, remain longshots due to fundraising gaps and lack of statewide name recognition, with no public polling challenging her lead ahead of the May 12 primary. Trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in safe Republican primaries, though a late scandal, major rival endorsement, or health issue could theoretically shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia.

If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$14,942
結束日期
2026-05-12
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "謝利·摩爾·卡皮托" at 98%, followed by "Tom Willis" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "謝利·摩爾·卡皮托" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Willis" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "西維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.