Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 87.9% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, propelled by his blockbuster $8.2 million fundraising disclosure this week—Florida Democrats' largest early haul amid optimism for the special election vacancy created by Marco Rubio's resignation and Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointment of Ashley Moody. Early field consolidation boosted him further, with Jennifer Jenkins exiting days after his January entry to endorse Vindman, alongside VoteVets PAC backing; trailing candidates like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (4.5%) lack comparable momentum ahead of the April 24 filing deadline, though late entrants could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於亞歷山大·溫德曼 87.4%
賈里德·莫斯科維茨 4.5%
Josh Weil <1%
珍妮佛·詹金斯 <1%
$103,258 交易量
$103,258 交易量
亞歷山大·溫德曼
87%
賈里德·莫斯科維茨
5%
Josh Weil
1%
珍妮佛·詹金斯
1%
安吉·尼克森
<1%
查理·克里斯特
<1%
艾倫·格雷森
<1%
喬伊·阿特金斯
<1%
亞歷山大·溫德曼 87.4%
賈里德·莫斯科維茨 4.5%
Josh Weil <1%
珍妮佛·詹金斯 <1%
$103,258 交易量
$103,258 交易量
亞歷山大·溫德曼
87%
賈里德·莫斯科維茨
5%
Josh Weil
1%
珍妮佛·詹金斯
1%
安吉·尼克森
<1%
查理·克里斯特
<1%
艾倫·格雷森
<1%
喬伊·阿特金斯
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 87.9% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, propelled by his blockbuster $8.2 million fundraising disclosure this week—Florida Democrats' largest early haul amid optimism for the special election vacancy created by Marco Rubio's resignation and Gov. Ron DeSantis' appointment of Ashley Moody. Early field consolidation boosted him further, with Jennifer Jenkins exiting days after his January entry to endorse Vindman, alongside VoteVets PAC backing; trailing candidates like Rep. Jared Moskowitz (4.5%) lack comparable momentum ahead of the April 24 filing deadline, though late entrants could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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