Market icon
政治·主要

蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

瑞利·尼爾 87%

麥可·布萊克沃夫 5.7%

邁克爾·胡默特 5.6%

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林 5.5%

Polymarket
最新

瑞利·尼爾 87%

麥可·布萊克沃夫 5.7%

邁克爾·胡默特 5.6%

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林 5.5%

Polymarket
最新

瑞利·尼爾

$3,951 交易量

87%

麥可·布萊克沃夫

$0 交易量

6%

邁克爾·胡默特

$0 交易量

6%

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林

$45 交易量

5%

Alani Bankhead

$937 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill commands overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her experience as a former state legislator, early post-2024 election announcement, endorsement from ex-Gov. Brian Schweitzer, and sustained media visibility including a recent interview on healthcare and agriculture. Challengers Michael BlackWolf (6.2%), emphasizing tribal sovereignty; Michael Hummert (5.7%), a Navy veteran; Kathleen McLaughlin (5.5%), a Kalispell newcomer; and Alani Bankhead (4.3%), an Air Force special agent focusing on housing and trafficking, lag due to later entries since January, minimal endorsements, and lower name recognition in the low-turnout primary. Absent polls, the wisdom of crowds favors Neill's organizational edge, though late fundraising surges or scandals could narrow the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,933
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Reilly Neill commands overwhelming trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability to win Montana's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by her experience as a former state legislator, early post-2024 election announcement, endorsement from ex-Gov. Brian Schweitzer, and sustained media visibility including a recent interview on healthcare and agriculture. Challengers Michael BlackWolf (6.2%), emphasizing tribal sovereignty; Michael Hummert (5.7%), a Navy veteran; Kathleen McLaughlin (5.5%), a Kalispell newcomer; and Alani Bankhead (4.3%), an Air Force special agent focusing on housing and trafficking, lag due to later entries since January, minimal endorsements, and lower name recognition in the low-turnout primary. Absent polls, the wisdom of crowds favors Neill's organizational edge, though late fundraising surges or scandals could narrow the field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$4,933
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑞利·尼爾" at 87%, followed by "麥可·布萊克沃夫" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 3, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "瑞利·尼爾" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥可·布萊克沃夫" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.