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選舉·主要

新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Cory Booker 99.1%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Gregory Tomaini <1%

Polymarket
最新

Cory Booker 99.1%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Gregory Tomaini <1%

Polymarket
最新

Cory Booker

$4,815 交易量

99%

Saxon Callahan

$1,645 交易量

1%

Gregory Tomaini

$916 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Cory Booker's 99.3% implied probability in the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary reflects his unchallenged status after the March 23 filing deadline, with no serious rivals qualifying for the June 2 ballot—potential challenger Chris Fields fell roughly 100 signatures short, leaving only minor candidates Saxon Callahan and Gregory Tomaini. Booker's strong incumbency advantage, massive fundraising lead, and dominance in deep-blue New Jersey underpin trader consensus, aligning with historical base rates where sitting senators rarely face competitive primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts, though such barriers are steep absent major developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$7,376
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Cory Booker's 99.3% implied probability in the New Jersey Democratic Senate primary reflects his unchallenged status after the March 23 filing deadline, with no serious rivals qualifying for the June 2 ballot—potential challenger Chris Fields fell roughly 100 signatures short, leaving only minor candidates Saxon Callahan and Gregory Tomaini. Booker's strong incumbency advantage, massive fundraising lead, and dominance in deep-blue New Jersey underpin trader consensus, aligning with historical base rates where sitting senators rarely face competitive primaries. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, health issues, or unexpected voter turnout shifts, though such barriers are steep absent major developments.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$7,376
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cory Booker" at 99%, followed by "Saxon Callahan" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 26, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Cory Booker" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Saxon Callahan" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新澤西州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.