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政治·主要

肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

查爾斯·布克 78%

艾米·麥格拉斯 19%

潘蜜拉·史蒂文森 1.7%

賈里德·蘭德爾 1.5%

Polymarket

$14,848 交易量

查爾斯·布克 78%

艾米·麥格拉斯 19%

潘蜜拉·史蒂文森 1.7%

賈里德·蘭德爾 1.5%

Polymarket

$14,848 交易量

查爾斯·布克

$3,920 交易量

78%

艾米·麥格拉斯

$4,213 交易量

19%

潘蜜拉·史蒂文森

$1,226 交易量

2%

賈里德·蘭德爾

$901 交易量

2%

文森特·湯普森

$887 交易量

2%

Logan Forsythe

$1,670 交易量

1%

Dale Romans

$1,142 交易量

1%

喬爾·威利特

$888 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A fresh Emerson College/FOX 56 poll released this week shows Charles Booker leading Kentucky's Democratic U.S. Senate primary by 18 points among likely voters, solidifying trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability and boosting his frontrunner status ahead of the May 19 primary. Booker's edge stems from strong labor union endorsements last week, grassroots momentum from his near-upset of Amy McGrath in the 2020 primary, and a focus on working families amid a crowded field. McGrath, entering in January with prior name recognition from her 2020 general election run against Mitch McConnell, holds at 18.5% but trails amid recent debate clashes on immigration and foreign policy. Lower-tier candidates like Pamela Stevenson and Dale Romans remain marginal after lackluster debate showings, with no major shifts expected until early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$14,848
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A fresh Emerson College/FOX 56 poll released this week shows Charles Booker leading Kentucky's Democratic U.S. Senate primary by 18 points among likely voters, solidifying trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability and boosting his frontrunner status ahead of the May 19 primary. Booker's edge stems from strong labor union endorsements last week, grassroots momentum from his near-upset of Amy McGrath in the 2020 primary, and a focus on working families amid a crowded field. McGrath, entering in January with prior name recognition from her 2020 general election run against Mitch McConnell, holds at 18.5% but trails amid recent debate clashes on immigration and foreign policy. Lower-tier candidates like Pamela Stevenson and Dale Romans remain marginal after lackluster debate showings, with no major shifts expected until early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$14,848
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "查爾斯·布克" at 78%, followed by "艾米·麥格拉斯" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "查爾斯·布克" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "艾米·麥格拉斯" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "肯塔基州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.