In Louisiana's closed Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, trader consensus strongly favors Rep. Julia Letlow at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by endorsements from President Trump and Gov. Jeff Landry, which internal polling shows expand her lead among GOP voters wary of incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 18.1% amid a competitive three-way race, with Cassidy at 11%. Recent attacks by Cassidy and Fleming on Letlow's past DEI comments have intensified ahead of agreed debates, but markets reflect the wisdom of crowds betting on her fundraising edge and Trump-aligned momentum despite mixed public polls. Early voting and turnout in this red-state primary could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Julia Letlow 66%
約翰·弗萊明 17.5%
比爾·卡西迪 11%
Julie Emerson <1%
$169,608 交易量
$169,608 交易量
Julia Letlow
66%
約翰·弗萊明
18%
比爾·卡西迪
11%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
薩繆爾“薩米”懷亞特
<1%
蘭德爾·阿靈頓
<1%
埃里克·斯克梅塔
<1%
克里斯·霍爾德
<1%
Xan John
<1%
凱西·塞登
<1%
特蕾西·丹迪
<1%
Julia Letlow 66%
約翰·弗萊明 17.5%
比爾·卡西迪 11%
Julie Emerson <1%
$169,608 交易量
$169,608 交易量
Julia Letlow
66%
約翰·弗萊明
18%
比爾·卡西迪
11%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
薩繆爾“薩米”懷亞特
<1%
蘭德爾·阿靈頓
<1%
埃里克·斯克梅塔
<1%
克里斯·霍爾德
<1%
Xan John
<1%
凱西·塞登
<1%
特蕾西·丹迪
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Louisiana's closed Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, trader consensus strongly favors Rep. Julia Letlow at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by endorsements from President Trump and Gov. Jeff Landry, which internal polling shows expand her lead among GOP voters wary of incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy's 2021 vote to convict Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 18.1% amid a competitive three-way race, with Cassidy at 11%. Recent attacks by Cassidy and Fleming on Letlow's past DEI comments have intensified ahead of agreed debates, but markets reflect the wisdom of crowds betting on her fundraising edge and Trump-aligned momentum despite mixed public polls. Early voting and turnout in this red-state primary could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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