Trader consensus heavily favors Raymond McKay at 82% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican U.S. Senate primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting his stronger positioning in a low-turnout contest against sole major challenger Allen Waters (9.7%). McKay, a retired Warwick city employee and 2024 primary contender who raised over $119,000, benefits from Waters' divided focus following the latter's February 12 announcement of an independent bid for Providence mayor—his fifth campaign in seven years after multiple House races and a 2020 Senate nomination later disavowed by state Republicans. No recent polls or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics in this uncontested two-candidate field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於雷蒙德·麥凱
82%
艾倫·沃特斯
10%
雷蒙德·麥凱
82%
艾倫·沃特斯
10%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Raymond McKay at 82% implied probability to win Rhode Island's Republican U.S. Senate primary on September 8, 2026, reflecting his stronger positioning in a low-turnout contest against sole major challenger Allen Waters (9.7%). McKay, a retired Warwick city employee and 2024 primary contender who raised over $119,000, benefits from Waters' divided focus following the latter's February 12 announcement of an independent bid for Providence mayor—his fifth campaign in seven years after multiple House races and a 2020 Senate nomination later disavowed by state Republicans. No recent polls or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics in this uncontested two-candidate field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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