Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary on August 11, driven by consistent polling advantages—such as a 30-point edge in recent surveys—and progressive endorsements from Sens. Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Recent backlash to ICE's Operation Metro Surge has amplified Flanagan's appeal among DFL activists, contrasting with Rep. Angie Craig's 17.5% odds amid scrutiny over her initial support for the Laken Riley Act, which she has since walked back. Craig's fundraising edge sustains her competitiveness, but Flanagan's precinct caucus momentum and DNC backing position her as the frontrunner ahead of the party nominating convention in early May. Low odds for others like AG Keith Ellison reflect minimal campaign activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於佩吉·弗拉納根 79%
安吉·克雷格 18%
基思·埃里森 1.2%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆 <1%
$30,993 交易量
$30,993 交易量
佩吉·弗拉納根
79%
安吉·克雷格
18%
基思·埃里森
1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆
1%
梅麗莎·洛佩茲·弗蘭岑
1%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
1%
梅麗莎·霍特曼
1%
Steve Simon
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
雅各布·弗雷
<1%
佩吉·弗拉納根 79%
安吉·克雷格 18%
基思·埃里森 1.2%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆 <1%
$30,993 交易量
$30,993 交易量
佩吉·弗拉納根
79%
安吉·克雷格
18%
基思·埃里森
1%
貝蒂·麥考拉姆
1%
梅麗莎·洛佩茲·弗蘭岑
1%
伊爾汗·奧馬爾
1%
梅麗莎·霍特曼
1%
Steve Simon
1%
David Wellstone
<1%
雅各布·弗雷
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary on August 11, driven by consistent polling advantages—such as a 30-point edge in recent surveys—and progressive endorsements from Sens. Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Recent backlash to ICE's Operation Metro Surge has amplified Flanagan's appeal among DFL activists, contrasting with Rep. Angie Craig's 17.5% odds amid scrutiny over her initial support for the Laken Riley Act, which she has since walked back. Craig's fundraising edge sustains her competitiveness, but Flanagan's precinct caucus momentum and DNC backing position her as the frontrunner ahead of the party nominating convention in early May. Low odds for others like AG Keith Ellison reflect minimal campaign activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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