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政治·參議院初選

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·參議院初選

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

凱文·赫恩 91%

馬特·皮內爾 3.0%

Wayne Lonny Washington 1.5%

約翰·M·奧康納 1.4%

Polymarket

$55,226 交易量

凱文·赫恩 91%

馬特·皮內爾 3.0%

Wayne Lonny Washington 1.5%

約翰·M·奧康納 1.4%

Polymarket

$55,226 交易量

凱文·赫恩

$10,280 交易量

91%

馬特·皮內爾

$657 交易量

3%

Wayne Lonny Washington

$872 交易量

2%

約翰·M·奧康納

$600 交易量

1%

史蒂芬妮·拜斯

$2,069 交易量

1%

馬克韋恩·穆林

$37,681 交易量

1%

Ron Meinhardt

$991 交易量

1%

Tammy Swearengin

$716 交易量

1%

尼克·漢金斯

$669 交易量

1%

Donelle Harder

$691 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from his March 11 announcement for the open seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as DHS Secretary, followed swiftly by President Trump's endorsement on March 13—clearing the primary field—and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. Potential rivals like Rep. Stephanie Bice have declined to challenge, while Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell's distant second reflects limited momentum amid a thin field. With candidate filing ongoing through April 3 and the primary on June 16 (possible runoff August 25), shifts could arise from a high-profile late entrant, fundraising disparities, or intra-party fractures testing Hern's fiscal conservative appeal in this safe GOP seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$55,226
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding trader consensus at 90.5% in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary stems from his March 11 announcement for the open seat vacated by Sen. Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as DHS Secretary, followed swiftly by President Trump's endorsement on March 13—clearing the primary field—and backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chair Tim Scott. Potential rivals like Rep. Stephanie Bice have declined to challenge, while Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell's distant second reflects limited momentum amid a thin field. With candidate filing ongoing through April 3 and the primary on June 16 (possible runoff August 25), shifts could arise from a high-profile late entrant, fundraising disparities, or intra-party fractures testing Hern's fiscal conservative appeal in this safe GOP seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$55,226
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱文·赫恩" at 91%, followed by "馬特·皮內爾" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $55.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "凱文·赫恩" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬特·皮內爾" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.