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選舉·主要

愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

艾希莉·欣森 96.7%

吉姆·卡林 1.7%

約翰·伯曼 1.3%

約書亞·史密斯 <1%

Polymarket

$12,277 交易量

艾希莉·欣森 96.7%

吉姆·卡林 1.7%

約翰·伯曼 1.3%

約書亞·史密斯 <1%

Polymarket

$12,277 交易量

艾希莉·欣森

$8,489 交易量

97%

吉姆·卡林

$449 交易量

2%

約翰·伯曼

$0 交易量

1%

約書亞·史密斯

$3,340 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's commanding 96.7% implied probability in the Iowa Republican Senate primary reflects her overwhelming fundraising edge—$5.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025 versus Jim Carlin's $32,000—and incumbency advantage from her IA-02 House seat, bolstered by early endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Chuck Grassley. Recent petition filings on March 11 showcased her organizational strength with over 15,000 signatures, while minor challengers John Berman and Joshua Smith have withdrawn, leaving Carlin as the lone viable rival without competitive resources or polling traction. With the June 2 primary two months away, traders see scant upset potential barring a late scandal, major MAGA defection, or unforeseen health issue.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,277
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's commanding 96.7% implied probability in the Iowa Republican Senate primary reflects her overwhelming fundraising edge—$5.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025 versus Jim Carlin's $32,000—and incumbency advantage from her IA-02 House seat, bolstered by early endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Chuck Grassley. Recent petition filings on March 11 showcased her organizational strength with over 15,000 signatures, while minor challengers John Berman and Joshua Smith have withdrawn, leaving Carlin as the lone viable rival without competitive resources or polling traction. With the June 2 primary two months away, traders see scant upset potential barring a late scandal, major MAGA defection, or unforeseen health issue.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,277
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾希莉·欣森" at 97%, followed by "吉姆·卡林" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $12.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "艾希莉·欣森" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吉姆·卡林" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.