Market icon
政治·主要

新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

$10,507 交易量

Polymarket

$10,507 交易量

克里斯·帕帕斯

$7,024 交易量

90%

Karishma Manzur

$3,483 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8, driven by his incumbency advantage from representing NH-01 since 2018, superior fundraising, and consistent dominance in early polls like UNH surveys from late 2025 showing wide margins over challengers. Medical scientist Karishma Manzur trails at 6%, reflecting her status as a political newcomer with progressive appeal but limited name recognition and resources, alongside state Rep. Jared Sullivan. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; recent general election polling, such as Emerson's late March tie with GOP frontrunner John Sununu, reinforces Pappas' viability and primary strength amid low upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,507
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8, driven by his incumbency advantage from representing NH-01 since 2018, superior fundraising, and consistent dominance in early polls like UNH surveys from late 2025 showing wide margins over challengers. Medical scientist Karishma Manzur trails at 6%, reflecting her status as a political newcomer with progressive appeal but limited name recognition and resources, alongside state Rep. Jared Sullivan. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; recent general election polling, such as Emerson's late March tie with GOP frontrunner John Sununu, reinforces Pappas' viability and primary strength amid low upset risk.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,507
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克里斯·帕帕斯" at 90%, followed by "Karishma Manzur" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "克里斯·帕帕斯" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karishma Manzur" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新罕布什爾州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.