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政治·韓國

2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·韓國

2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者

全在洙 72%

樸亨埈 22%

曹國 1.2%

蘇秉洙 1.1%

Polymarket

$346,799 交易量

全在洙 72%

樸亨埈 22%

曹國 1.2%

蘇秉洙 1.1%

Polymarket

$346,799 交易量

Market icon

全在洙

$29,050 交易量

72%

Market icon

樸亨埈

$11,235 交易量

22%

Market icon

曹國

$125,097 交易量

1%

Market icon

蘇秉洙

$114,919 交易量

1%

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崔仁浩

$32,093 交易量

1%

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李在成

$3,152 交易量

1%

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趙慶泰

$6,273 交易量

1%

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金泳春

$6,649 交易量

<1%

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朴成勳

$3,132 交易量

<1%

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洪順憲

$3,299 交易量

<1%

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金度燁

$8,345 交易量

<1%

Market icon

朴在浩

$3,556 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus favors Democratic Party of Korea Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting his double-digit leads in recent head-to-head polls against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon, including a 43.7% to 27.1% margin (outside the ±3.5% error) in the April 1 Dong-A Ilbo survey conducted March 28-29. The opposition's edge stems from the ruling party's nomination disruptions via court suspensions, internal primary strife involving challengers like Joo Jin-woo, and President Lee Jae-myung's high approval amid government slumps. Chun secured Democratic Party primary inclusion despite a Unification Church probe, with his April 2 candidacy declaration and policy pushes like Busan hub development bolstering support; Park trails at 22% as 59% of voters remain undecided ahead of campaigns.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$346,799
結束日期
2026-06-03
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus favors Democratic Party of Korea Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, reflecting his double-digit leads in recent head-to-head polls against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon, including a 43.7% to 27.1% margin (outside the ±3.5% error) in the April 1 Dong-A Ilbo survey conducted March 28-29. The opposition's edge stems from the ruling party's nomination disruptions via court suspensions, internal primary strife involving challengers like Joo Jin-woo, and President Lee Jae-myung's high approval amid government slumps. Chun secured Democratic Party primary inclusion despite a Unification Church probe, with his April 2 candidacy declaration and policy pushes like Busan hub development bolstering support; Park trails at 22% as 59% of voters remain undecided ahead of campaigns.

The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
交易量
$346,799
結束日期
2026-06-03
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "全在洙" at 72%, followed by "樸亨埈" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $346.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" is "全在洙" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "樸亨埈" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年釜山市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.