Market icon
政治·玻利維亞

聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

Market icon
政治·玻利維亞

聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

胡安·巴布羅·貝拉斯科 36.6%

奧托·里特 28.0%

路易斯·費爾南多·卡馬喬 <1%

胡利奧·塞薩爾·托雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$557,272 交易量

胡安·巴布羅·貝拉斯科 36.6%

奧托·里特 28.0%

路易斯·費爾南多·卡馬喬 <1%

胡利奧·塞薩爾·托雷斯 <1%

Polymarket

$557,272 交易量

胡安·巴布羅·貝拉斯科

$290,614 交易量

49%

奧托·里特

$80,942 交易量

28%

路易斯·費爾南多·卡馬喬

$139,910 交易量

<1%

胡利奧·塞薩爾·托雷斯

$25,064 交易量

<1%

胡安·卡洛斯·梅德拉諾

$0 交易量

<1%

毛里西奧·克薩達

$20,741 交易量

<1%

鐘奇賢

$0 交易量

<1%

圭多·愛德華多·納亞爾

$0 交易量

<1%

米格爾·卡迪瑪

$0 交易量

<1%

弗拉基米爾·佩尼亞

$0 交易量

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).**Juan Pablo Velasco holds a trader consensus edge at 49.4% implied probability over Otto Ritter's 28% for the Santa Cruz governor runoff on April 19**, driven by Velasco's first-round plurality of 29% versus Ritter's 27% in the fragmented March 22 subnational elections, where no candidate cleared 40%. As Bolivia's economic powerhouse and opposition stronghold, Santa Cruz voters rejected jailed incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place 22% despite his pre-election polling lead, boosting newcomer Velasco's Alianza Libre appeal with tech-driven modernization pledges amid anti-MAS fragmentation. Ritter's Santa Cruz Para Todos trails as markets anticipate Camacho voter shifts. Recent Tribunal Electoral Departamental advances in official counts, minor April 5 repeat voting in 29 mesas, and April 12 debate loom as catalysts.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$557,272
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).**Juan Pablo Velasco holds a trader consensus edge at 49.4% implied probability over Otto Ritter's 28% for the Santa Cruz governor runoff on April 19**, driven by Velasco's first-round plurality of 29% versus Ritter's 27% in the fragmented March 22 subnational elections, where no candidate cleared 40%. As Bolivia's economic powerhouse and opposition stronghold, Santa Cruz voters rejected jailed incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place 22% despite his pre-election polling lead, boosting newcomer Velasco's Alianza Libre appeal with tech-driven modernization pledges amid anti-MAS fragmentation. Ritter's Santa Cruz Para Todos trails as markets anticipate Camacho voter shifts. Recent Tribunal Electoral Departamental advances in official counts, minor April 5 repeat voting in 29 mesas, and April 12 debate loom as catalysts.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$557,272
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "胡安·巴布羅·貝拉斯科" at 49%, followed by "奧托·里特" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" has generated $557.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is "胡安·巴布羅·貝拉斯科" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧托·里特" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "聖克魯斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.