Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori as virtual ties for second place in Peru's 2026 presidential election first round, both above 44%, reflecting their dominance in right-wing voter support amid a splintered 20+ candidate field where ethnonationalist Antauro Humala leads early polls at 12-18%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys show them clustered at 8-12% each, with volatility fueled by Peru's ongoing political instability, corruption probes, and anti-incumbent sentiment keeping the race compressed. Separation could emerge from upcoming candidate registrations by November, new endorsements, or scandals—such as Fujimori's lingering legal appeals—potentially consolidating conservative votes or eroding one contender's momentum before April balloting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Keiko Fujimori 34%
Rafael López Aliaga 34%
Alfonso López Chau 25%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23%

Keiko Fujimori
34%

Rafael López Aliaga
34%

Alfonso López Chau
25%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Fiorella Molinelli
22%

Carlos Espá
21%

Ricardo Belmont
21%

Carlos Álvarez
21%

Vladimir Cerrón
21%

Fernando Olivera
21%

Wolfgang Grozo
21%

Mesías Guevara
21%

Jorge Nieto
21%

Yonhy Lescano
21%

José Luna
19%

José Williams
19%

Enrique Valderrama
19%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
19%

Mario Vizcarra
18%

George Forsyth
18%

César Acuña
18%

Roberto Chiabra
18%

Marisol Pérez Tello
18%
Keiko Fujimori 34%
Rafael López Aliaga 34%
Alfonso López Chau 25%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 23%

Keiko Fujimori
34%

Rafael López Aliaga
34%

Alfonso López Chau
25%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
23%

Fiorella Molinelli
22%

Carlos Espá
21%

Ricardo Belmont
21%

Carlos Álvarez
21%

Vladimir Cerrón
21%

Fernando Olivera
21%

Wolfgang Grozo
21%

Mesías Guevara
21%

Jorge Nieto
21%

Yonhy Lescano
21%

José Luna
19%

José Williams
19%

Enrique Valderrama
19%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
19%

Mario Vizcarra
18%

George Forsyth
18%

César Acuña
18%

Roberto Chiabra
18%

Marisol Pérez Tello
18%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori as virtual ties for second place in Peru's 2026 presidential election first round, both above 44%, reflecting their dominance in right-wing voter support amid a splintered 20+ candidate field where ethnonationalist Antauro Humala leads early polls at 12-18%. Recent Ipsos and Datum surveys show them clustered at 8-12% each, with volatility fueled by Peru's ongoing political instability, corruption probes, and anti-incumbent sentiment keeping the race compressed. Separation could emerge from upcoming candidate registrations by November, new endorsements, or scandals—such as Fujimori's lingering legal appeals—potentially consolidating conservative votes or eroding one contender's momentum before April balloting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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