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政治·主要

阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

巴里·摩爾 81%

賈瑞德·哈德森 7.4%

史蒂夫·馬歇爾 6%

摩根·墨菲 1.2%

Polymarket

$47,220 交易量

巴里·摩爾 81%

賈瑞德·哈德森 7.4%

史蒂夫·馬歇爾 6%

摩根·墨菲 1.2%

Polymarket

$47,220 交易量

巴里·摩爾

$11,226 交易量

81%

賈瑞德·哈德森

$2,061 交易量

7%

史蒂夫·馬歇爾

$8,968 交易量

6%

摩根·墨菲

$22,927 交易量

1%

羅德尼·沃克

$2,039 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Barry Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by former President Trump's endorsement, backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chairman Tim Scott last week, and a $1.5 million Club for Growth super PAC ad buy launched March 26. Recent polls, including the Alabama Poll (March 22-24) showing Moore at 22.8% in a three-way tie with Attorney General Steve Marshall (20.7%) and outsider Jared Hudson (19.0%) amid 34.5% undecided, underscore a fragmented field where no candidate nears the 50% threshold to avoid a runoff. High undecideds and Moore's momentum from national GOP support position him to consolidate support, though late shifts from fundraising or scandals could alter outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$47,220
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Barry Moore holds a commanding trader consensus at 81% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by former President Trump's endorsement, backing from Senate Majority Leader John Thune and NRSC Chairman Tim Scott last week, and a $1.5 million Club for Growth super PAC ad buy launched March 26. Recent polls, including the Alabama Poll (March 22-24) showing Moore at 22.8% in a three-way tie with Attorney General Steve Marshall (20.7%) and outsider Jared Hudson (19.0%) amid 34.5% undecided, underscore a fragmented field where no candidate nears the 50% threshold to avoid a runoff. High undecideds and Moore's momentum from national GOP support position him to consolidate support, though late shifts from fundraising or scandals could alter outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$47,220
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "巴里·摩爾" at 81%, followed by "賈瑞德·哈德森" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $47.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "巴里·摩爾" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "賈瑞德·哈德森" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿拉巴馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.