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政治·主要

南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

達斯蒂·約翰遜 52%

Toby Doeden 38%

Larry Rhoden 9%

喬恩·漢森 1.1%

Polymarket

$15,044 交易量

達斯蒂·約翰遜 52%

Toby Doeden 38%

Larry Rhoden 9%

喬恩·漢森 1.1%

Polymarket

$15,044 交易量

達斯蒂·約翰遜

$3,053 交易量

52%

Toby Doeden

$4,778 交易量

38%

Larry Rhoden

$6,000 交易量

9%

喬恩·漢森

$1,212 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by mid-March Emerson polling showing him at 28% among likely GOP voters—well ahead of businessman Toby Doeden (18%), incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%), and House Speaker Jon Hansen (14%), with 23% undecided—reflecting his congressional experience and tax relief record amid a fragmented field likely requiring a top-two runoff if no one reaches 35%. Doeden's 37.5% pricing stems from his outsider appeal and recent gains in polls, bolstered by pledges to eliminate property taxes. The March 31 debate sharpened divides over sales tax hikes signed by Rhoden and backed by Hansen, which Johnson criticized as historic increases, potentially eroding the incumbents' support now at 9% and under 1%. No new polls have emerged post-debate, keeping the race competitive ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$15,044
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a trader consensus edge at 52% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by mid-March Emerson polling showing him at 28% among likely GOP voters—well ahead of businessman Toby Doeden (18%), incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%), and House Speaker Jon Hansen (14%), with 23% undecided—reflecting his congressional experience and tax relief record amid a fragmented field likely requiring a top-two runoff if no one reaches 35%. Doeden's 37.5% pricing stems from his outsider appeal and recent gains in polls, bolstered by pledges to eliminate property taxes. The March 31 debate sharpened divides over sales tax hikes signed by Rhoden and backed by Hansen, which Johnson criticized as historic increases, potentially eroding the incumbents' support now at 9% and under 1%. No new polls have emerged post-debate, keeping the race competitive ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$15,044
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "達斯蒂·約翰遜" at 52%, followed by "Toby Doeden" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "達斯蒂·約翰遜" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toby Doeden" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南達科他州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.