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政治·主要

喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Keisha Lance Bottoms 78%

傑森·埃斯特維斯 15%

Geoff Duncan 5%

邁克·瑟蒙德 4.7%

Polymarket

$114,726 交易量

Keisha Lance Bottoms 78%

傑森·埃斯特維斯 15%

Geoff Duncan 5%

邁克·瑟蒙德 4.7%

Polymarket

$114,726 交易量

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$20,275 交易量

78%

傑森·埃斯特維斯

$8,297 交易量

15%

Geoff Duncan

$23,004 交易量

5%

邁克·瑟蒙德

$8,105 交易量

5%

魯娃·羅曼

$50,606 交易量

<1%

德里克·傑克遜

$2,060 交易量

<1%

奧盧吉米·布朗

$2,380 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding edge in recent polls like the Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey showing her at 40%—far ahead of rivals—and Emerson polling from early March confirming her frontrunner status amid a crowded field of over a dozen qualifiers after the March 6 deadline. As former Atlanta mayor with national profile from her Biden administration role, Bottoms benefits from strong name recognition and active campaigning, including recent forums on economic issues and endorsements like California Gov. Gavin Newsom. State Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 14.5% after launching the first major Democratic ad buy in March, while ex-Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan's 5% share faces skepticism over his recent party switch. Former Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond holds 4.7%, buoyed by experience. With the May 19 primary approaching and voter registration closing April 20, turnout in Atlanta and swing suburbs could solidify Bottoms' path or allow challengers to consolidate anti-frontrunner support.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$114,726
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding edge in recent polls like the Atlanta Journal-Constitution survey showing her at 40%—far ahead of rivals—and Emerson polling from early March confirming her frontrunner status amid a crowded field of over a dozen qualifiers after the March 6 deadline. As former Atlanta mayor with national profile from her Biden administration role, Bottoms benefits from strong name recognition and active campaigning, including recent forums on economic issues and endorsements like California Gov. Gavin Newsom. State Sen. Jason Esteves trails at 14.5% after launching the first major Democratic ad buy in March, while ex-Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan's 5% share faces skepticism over his recent party switch. Former Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond holds 4.7%, buoyed by experience. With the May 19 primary approaching and voter registration closing April 20, turnout in Atlanta and swing suburbs could solidify Bottoms' path or allow challengers to consolidate anti-frontrunner support.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$114,726
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 78%, followed by "傑森·埃斯特維斯" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $114.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "傑森·埃斯特維斯" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "喬治亞州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.