Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 64% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his 2024 upset victory over Cori Bush amid heavy outside spending against her by pro-Israel groups. The March 31 filing deadline solidified their high-profile rematch, with no other major candidates entering, bolstering Bell's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge from establishment donors. Bush, at 30%, leverages her progressive record and recent contrasts on rejecting corporate money while pushing to abolish ICE and impeach Trump, but traders weigh her prior vulnerabilities in this St. Louis-area battleground district. Early polling remains scarce, with turnout and endorsements key ahead of the summer vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Wesley Bell
64%
Cori Bush
30%
Wesley Bell
64%
Cori Bush
30%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 64% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his 2024 upset victory over Cori Bush amid heavy outside spending against her by pro-Israel groups. The March 31 filing deadline solidified their high-profile rematch, with no other major candidates entering, bolstering Bell's incumbency advantage and fundraising edge from establishment donors. Bush, at 30%, leverages her progressive record and recent contrasts on rejecting corporate money while pushing to abolish ICE and impeach Trump, but traders weigh her prior vulnerabilities in this St. Louis-area battleground district. Early polling remains scarce, with turnout and endorsements key ahead of the summer vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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