In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus favors former Sen. Tom Begich at 31% implied probability due to a recent Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading the crowded top-four primary field at 22%, propelled by a fragmented Republican slate of 12 candidates splitting conservative support. Bernadette Wilson, strong in GOP straw polls at 14-17%, differentiates via business background and Permanent Fund Dividend advocacy, while Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins garners progressive backing on fisheries and cost-of-living issues. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, fundraising hauls reported in February, and candidate forums ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, with ranked-choice voting in November favoring broad appeal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於湯姆·貝吉奇 31%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 17%
伯納黛特·威爾遜 16%
特雷格·泰勒 13.0%
$708,568 交易量
$708,568 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇
31%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
17%

伯納黛特·威爾遜
16%

特雷格·泰勒
13%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆
10%

漢克·克羅爾
9%

Click Bishop
5%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
5%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基
4%

馬特·克拉曼
4%

詹姆斯·帕金
4%

大衛·布朗森
4%

布魯斯·沃爾登
3%

雪莉·休斯
3%

瑪麗·佩爾托拉
3%

馬特·赫伊拉拉
1%

亞當·克拉姆
1%
湯姆·貝吉奇 31%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 17%
伯納黛特·威爾遜 16%
特雷格·泰勒 13.0%
$708,568 交易量
$708,568 交易量

湯姆·貝吉奇
31%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
17%

伯納黛特·威爾遜
16%

特雷格·泰勒
13%

南希·達爾斯特羅姆
10%

漢克·克羅爾
9%

Click Bishop
5%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
5%

麗莎·穆爾科斯基
4%

馬特·克拉曼
4%

詹姆斯·帕金
4%

大衛·布朗森
4%

布魯斯·沃爾登
3%

雪莉·休斯
3%

瑪麗·佩爾托拉
3%

馬特·赫伊拉拉
1%

亞當·克拉姆
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus favors former Sen. Tom Begich at 31% implied probability due to a recent Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading the crowded top-four primary field at 22%, propelled by a fragmented Republican slate of 12 candidates splitting conservative support. Bernadette Wilson, strong in GOP straw polls at 14-17%, differentiates via business background and Permanent Fund Dividend advocacy, while Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins garners progressive backing on fisheries and cost-of-living issues. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, fundraising hauls reported in February, and candidate forums ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, with ranked-choice voting in November favoring broad appeal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions