Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot—appearing every 16 years per state law—asks voters whether to convene 148 delegates to potentially rewrite the 1963 constitution, following rejections in 1978 (67% No), 1994 (64% No), and 2010 (58% No). The 59.5% Yes implied probability captures trader consensus on growing frustration with recent amendments, including 2022's reproductive rights expansion, the independent redistricting commission, and clean energy standards, amid calls from figures like former House Speaker Matt Hall for overhaul. In the past month, Citizens Research Council reports detailed amendment trends, while opposition mounted from the Michigan Education Association, Chamber of Commerce, and Democratic Party, warning of special interest risks in a high-turnout midterm with open gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市場開放時間: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan's automatic constitutional convention question on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot—appearing every 16 years per state law—asks voters whether to convene 148 delegates to potentially rewrite the 1963 constitution, following rejections in 1978 (67% No), 1994 (64% No), and 2010 (58% No). The 59.5% Yes implied probability captures trader consensus on growing frustration with recent amendments, including 2022's reproductive rights expansion, the independent redistricting commission, and clean energy standards, amid calls from figures like former House Speaker Matt Hall for overhaul. In the past month, Citizens Research Council reports detailed amendment trends, while opposition mounted from the Michigan Education Association, Chamber of Commerce, and Democratic Party, warning of special interest risks in a high-turnout midterm with open gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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