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政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Eric Chung 69%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 20%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 12%

Tripp Adams 2.0%

Polymarket

$40,063 交易量

Eric Chung 69%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 20%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 12%

Tripp Adams 2.0%

Polymarket

$40,063 交易量

Eric Chung

$3,146 交易量

69%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾

$29,702 交易量

20%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯

$2,818 交易量

12%

Tripp Adams

$2,527 交易量

2%

Brian Jaye

$1,871 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Eric Chung at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $716,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, outpacing Tim Greimel's $808,000 raised and Christina Hines' $663,000. Greimel, former Pontiac mayor and House Democratic leader, holds second at 20.5% on name recognition in this open primary vacated by Republican John James' gubernatorial bid. Hines trails at 10.5% despite a slight edge in January PPP general election polling against likely GOP foe Mike Bouchard. No primary polls or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, underscoring financial resources as the key differentiator in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,063
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Eric Chung at 68.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $716,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, outpacing Tim Greimel's $808,000 raised and Christina Hines' $663,000. Greimel, former Pontiac mayor and House Democratic leader, holds second at 20.5% on name recognition in this open primary vacated by Republican John James' gubernatorial bid. Hines trails at 10.5% despite a slight edge in January PPP general election polling against likely GOP foe Mike Bouchard. No primary polls or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, underscoring financial resources as the key differentiator in this competitive field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,063
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 69%, followed by "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $40.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Eric Chung" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.