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政治·主要

奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

$31,324 交易量

Polymarket

$31,324 交易量

辛迪·孟森

$15,341 交易量

85%

Arya Azma

$15,983 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 16, fueled by her early April 2025 campaign launch, year-long statewide outreach, and status as the party's top elected official amid term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt's open seat. The April 3 candidate filing deadline confirmed a thin field with only challenger Arya Azma—a 2022 U.S. Senate primary also-ran—positioning Munson as the presumptive nominee via superior name recognition and institutional backing in low-turnout primaries. Absent polling, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal competition, though endorsements or late momentum could narrow the gap before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$31,324
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson dominates trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 16, fueled by her early April 2025 campaign launch, year-long statewide outreach, and status as the party's top elected official amid term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt's open seat. The April 3 candidate filing deadline confirmed a thin field with only challenger Arya Azma—a 2022 U.S. Senate primary also-ran—positioning Munson as the presumptive nominee via superior name recognition and institutional backing in low-turnout primaries. Absent polling, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal competition, though endorsements or late momentum could narrow the gap before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$31,324
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "辛迪·孟森" at 85%, followed by "Arya Azma" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $31.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "辛迪·孟森" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arya Azma" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.