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政治·House Primary

IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·House Primary

IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者

克莉絲蒂娜·博哈南 90%

泰勒·韋塔赫 2.9%

Travis Terrell 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

克莉絲蒂娜·博哈南 90%

泰勒·韋塔赫 2.9%

Travis Terrell 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

克莉絲蒂娜·博哈南

$3,956 交易量

90%

泰勒·韋塔赫

$0 交易量

3%

Travis Terrell

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Christina Bohannan at 89.5% to win the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2, reflecting her overwhelming fundraising edge—over $3 million raised and $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—compared to Travis Terrell's mere $14,000, alongside her name recognition from narrowly challenging Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in 2024. The field narrowed decisively after Taylor Wettach and Bob Krause withdrew in January, with ballots finalized March 17 confirming just Bohannan and Terrell in the closed primary. National Democrats spotlighted IA-01 as a toss-up general election target March 18, boosting her profile without strong challengers emerging. Low odds for others underscore minimal upset risk barring unexpected scandals or turnout surges.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,956
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Christina Bohannan at 89.5% to win the IA-01 Democratic primary on June 2, reflecting her overwhelming fundraising edge—over $3 million raised and $2.3 million cash on hand as of late 2025—compared to Travis Terrell's mere $14,000, alongside her name recognition from narrowly challenging Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in 2024. The field narrowed decisively after Taylor Wettach and Bob Krause withdrew in January, with ballots finalized March 17 confirming just Bohannan and Terrell in the closed primary. National Democrats spotlighted IA-01 as a toss-up general election target March 18, boosting her profile without strong challengers emerging. Low odds for others underscore minimal upset risk barring unexpected scandals or turnout surges.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,956
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克莉絲蒂娜·博哈南" at 90%, followed by "泰勒·韋塔赫" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "克莉絲蒂娜·博哈南" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "泰勒·韋塔赫" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IA-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.