Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 82% implied probability to win the June 23 NY-10 Democratic primary, reflecting progressive momentum against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman (15.5%). The April 2 endorsement from 32BJ SEIU, a major service workers union amid contract talks, amplified Lander's grassroots appeal, building on Our Revolution's March backing and his criticism of big-money influence like AIPAC spending. Goldman touts local Democratic club support and outpaced Lander in first-quarter fundraising reported April 3, but trails in trader sentiment. Minor candidates—City Councilmember Alexa Avilés, activist Cameron Kasky, and Assemblymember Yuh-Line Niou—hover below 2% each in this closed primary contest. Upcoming endorsements and debates could shift dynamics in this Manhattan-Brooklyn battleground.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於布拉德·蘭德 82%
Dan Goldman 16%
Alexa Avilés 1.7%
Cameron Kasky 1.7%
布拉德·蘭德
82%
Dan Goldman
16%
Alexa Avilés
2%
Cameron Kasky
2%
牛毓琳
1%
布拉德·蘭德 82%
Dan Goldman 16%
Alexa Avilés 1.7%
Cameron Kasky 1.7%
布拉德·蘭德
82%
Dan Goldman
16%
Alexa Avilés
2%
Cameron Kasky
2%
牛毓琳
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 82% implied probability to win the June 23 NY-10 Democratic primary, reflecting progressive momentum against incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman (15.5%). The April 2 endorsement from 32BJ SEIU, a major service workers union amid contract talks, amplified Lander's grassroots appeal, building on Our Revolution's March backing and his criticism of big-money influence like AIPAC spending. Goldman touts local Democratic club support and outpaced Lander in first-quarter fundraising reported April 3, but trails in trader sentiment. Minor candidates—City Councilmember Alexa Avilés, activist Cameron Kasky, and Assemblymember Yuh-Line Niou—hover below 2% each in this closed primary contest. Upcoming endorsements and debates could shift dynamics in this Manhattan-Brooklyn battleground.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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