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選舉·主要

GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者

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選舉·主要

GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者

尼克瑪·威廉斯 96%

Victor Hill 1.6%

Arnetress Beatty 1.2%

Andres Castro 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

尼克瑪·威廉斯 96%

Victor Hill 1.6%

Arnetress Beatty 1.2%

Andres Castro 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

尼克瑪·威廉斯

$3,511 交易量

96%

Victor Hill

$857 交易量

2%

Arnetress Beatty

$757 交易量

1%

Andres Castro

$639 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 96% trader consensus to win the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by the post-March 6 qualifying withdrawal or disqualification of challengers Victor Hill and Andres Castro, leaving only minimally funded Arnetress Beatty (1.2% odds) as opposition. Williams' fundraising dominance—$375,000 raised versus Beatty's $6,000 as of December 2025—combined with her unopposed 2022 primary win and past role chairing the Georgia Democratic Party, underscores her entrenched support in the solidly Democratic D+36 district. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, major endorsement shift to Beatty, or anomalous turnout, though her incumbency advantage and historical base rates for House primaries heavily favor continuation. Early voting begins April 27.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$5,764
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 96% trader consensus to win the GA-05 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by the post-March 6 qualifying withdrawal or disqualification of challengers Victor Hill and Andres Castro, leaving only minimally funded Arnetress Beatty (1.2% odds) as opposition. Williams' fundraising dominance—$375,000 raised versus Beatty's $6,000 as of December 2025—combined with her unopposed 2022 primary win and past role chairing the Georgia Democratic Party, underscores her entrenched support in the solidly Democratic D+36 district. Realistic challenges would require a late scandal, major endorsement shift to Beatty, or anomalous turnout, though her incumbency advantage and historical base rates for House primaries heavily favor continuation. Early voting begins April 27.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$5,764
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尼克瑪·威廉斯" at 96%, followed by "Victor Hill" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者" is "尼克瑪·威廉斯" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Victor Hill" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-05民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.