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政治·主要

TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者

科林·奧爾雷德 70%

Julie Johnson 31%

卡洛斯·金塔尼利亞 <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$54,461 交易量

科林·奧爾雷德 70%

Julie Johnson 31%

卡洛斯·金塔尼利亞 <1%

Zeeshan Hafeez <1%

Polymarket

$54,461 交易量

科林·奧爾雷德

$27,105 交易量

70%

Julie Johnson

$24,677 交易量

31%

卡洛斯·金塔尼利亞

$2,679 交易量

<1%

Zeeshan Hafeez

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Colin Allred at 70% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his strong first-round performance on March 3—securing 45.5% against incumbent Julie Johnson's 34%—bolstered by endorsements from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez. Allred's statewide name recognition from prior U.S. Senate campaigns, bipartisan House record, and fundraising edge (over $5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of early March) have solidified his position in the redrawn North Texas district. Recent GBAO polling shows Allred leading 58%-30%, driving the market shift, though low runoff turnout and Johnson's local ties could narrow the gap ahead of early voting starting May 18.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$54,461
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Colin Allred at 70% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his strong first-round performance on March 3—securing 45.5% against incumbent Julie Johnson's 34%—bolstered by endorsements from eliminated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez. Allred's statewide name recognition from prior U.S. Senate campaigns, bipartisan House record, and fundraising edge (over $5.4 million raised versus Johnson's $1.5 million as of early March) have solidified his position in the redrawn North Texas district. Recent GBAO polling shows Allred leading 58%-30%, driving the market shift, though low runoff turnout and Johnson's local ties could narrow the gap ahead of early voting starting May 18.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$54,461
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "科林·奧爾雷德" at 70%, followed by "Julie Johnson" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $54.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者" is "科林·奧爾雷德" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Julie Johnson" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-33民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.