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政治·主要

佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

艾什莉·B·穆迪 94%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓 4.1%

Jake Lang 2.4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket

$12,102 交易量

艾什莉·B·穆迪 94%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓 4.1%

Jake Lang 2.4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket

$12,102 交易量

艾什莉·B·穆迪

$7,741 交易量

94%

麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓

$2,401 交易量

4%

Jake Lang

$1,089 交易量

2%

A.C. Toulme

$871 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 94% implied probability as the Republican nominee stems from her incumbency as the appointed U.S. Senator filling Marco Rubio's vacancy, bolstered by recent endorsements from the Florida Police Benevolent Association and Palm Beach County PBA in early April, affirming her law enforcement backing from her prior attorney general tenure. With the August 18 primary approaching, challengers Michaelangelo Hamilton, Jake Lang—a January 6 defendant pardoned by Trump—and A.C. Toulme remain fringe figures lacking fundraising or statewide recognition, echoing historical patterns where Florida GOP incumbents dominate primaries. Scenarios to upend this include a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or Trump endorsement shift, though traders see slim odds amid her proven voter turnout strength.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,102
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 94% implied probability as the Republican nominee stems from her incumbency as the appointed U.S. Senator filling Marco Rubio's vacancy, bolstered by recent endorsements from the Florida Police Benevolent Association and Palm Beach County PBA in early April, affirming her law enforcement backing from her prior attorney general tenure. With the August 18 primary approaching, challengers Michaelangelo Hamilton, Jake Lang—a January 6 defendant pardoned by Trump—and A.C. Toulme remain fringe figures lacking fundraising or statewide recognition, echoing historical patterns where Florida GOP incumbents dominate primaries. Scenarios to upend this include a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or Trump endorsement shift, though traders see slim odds amid her proven voter turnout strength.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,102
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾什莉·B·穆迪" at 94%, followed by "麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $12.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "艾什莉·B·穆迪" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥可安傑洛·漢米爾頓" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佛羅裏達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.