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政治·美國大選

MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·美國大選

MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者

Patrick Roath 41%

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 4.7%

史蒂芬·林奇 0

Polymarket
最新

Patrick Roath 41%

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克 4.7%

史蒂芬·林奇 0

Polymarket
最新

Patrick Roath

$0 交易量

41%

安德魯·齊爾伯芬克

$0 交易量

5%

史蒂芬·林奇

$2,104 交易量

51%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a slim 51% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, buoyed by his long tenure, dominant cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million, a February Workbench Strategy poll showing him ahead 62%-36%, and a March 25 endorsement from the North Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters. Challenger Patrick Roath, at 40%, has narrowed the gap through superior fundraising ($600K raised), backing from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve, and a mid-March surge amid unverified rumors about Lynch's health that tightened odds despite the incumbent's public appearances. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 4.5% following his withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,104
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a slim 51% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, buoyed by his long tenure, dominant cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million, a February Workbench Strategy poll showing him ahead 62%-36%, and a March 25 endorsement from the North Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters. Challenger Patrick Roath, at 40%, has narrowed the gap through superior fundraising ($600K raised), backing from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve, and a mid-March surge amid unverified rumors about Lynch's health that tightened odds despite the incumbent's public appearances. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 4.5% following his withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,104
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "史蒂芬·林奇" at 51%, followed by "Patrick Roath" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is "史蒂芬·林奇" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Roath" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-08民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.