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MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner

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MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner

$15,926 交易量

Polymarket

$15,926 交易量

Ilhan Omar

$15,926 交易量

86%

Latonya Reeves

$0 交易量

15%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 85.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her incumbency advantage, proven fundraising prowess, and loyal base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district with strong Somali-American support. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive officer and labor leader who launched her bid in November 2025, trails at 14.5% amid limited polling and no major endorsements shifting momentum. Recent criticism from Reeves in a March letter to the DNC accusing Omar of inflammatory rhetoric failed to alter trader sentiment, reflecting historical patterns where Omar overcame close primary challenges like 2022's against Don Samuels. Key upcoming factors include potential DFL endorsements and candidate debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$15,926
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 85.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her incumbency advantage, proven fundraising prowess, and loyal base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district with strong Somali-American support. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL state executive officer and labor leader who launched her bid in November 2025, trails at 14.5% amid limited polling and no major endorsements shifting momentum. Recent criticism from Reeves in a March letter to the DNC accusing Omar of inflammatory rhetoric failed to alter trader sentiment, reflecting historical patterns where Omar overcame close primary challenges like 2022's against Don Samuels. Key upcoming factors include potential DFL endorsements and candidate debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$15,926
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilhan Omar" at 86%, followed by "Latonya Reeves" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Ilhan Omar" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Latonya Reeves" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.