Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party secured a decisive parliamentary majority in Ethiopia's June 2026 general elections, winning roughly 90 percent of contested seats and positioning him to form the next government and continue as prime minister. This outcome, confirmed by the National Election Board, reflects the ruling party's organizational dominance and limited effective opposition participation amid ongoing regional insurgencies in Amhara and Oromia, plus tensions in Tigray. Traders assign him overwhelming probability because the House of Peoples' Representatives selects the prime minister under Ethiopia's system, with no scheduled leadership transition or credible alternative emerging. Potential shifts could stem from acute security escalations, health developments, or internal party dynamics before the new term begins, though historical patterns favor incumbents retaining power following such majorities.