Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime Democratic representative, faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary determines which two candidates advance to the November general election. Jones has drawn attention through strong fundraising relative to other challengers, while multiple Republican candidates including Sharon Brown split the opposition vote. No other major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving candidate resources, endorsements, and voter turnout in the district's Democratic-leaning areas as the primary factors ahead of the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,215 交易量
Mike Thompson
91%
Eric Jones
90%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
8%
希斯·富克森
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$31,215 交易量
Mike Thompson
91%
Eric Jones
90%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
8%
希斯·富克森
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime Democratic representative, faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary determines which two candidates advance to the November general election. Jones has drawn attention through strong fundraising relative to other challengers, while multiple Republican candidates including Sharon Brown split the opposition vote. No other major developments have shifted the race in recent weeks, leaving candidate resources, endorsements, and voter turnout in the district's Democratic-leaning areas as the primary factors ahead of the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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