California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, operates under the state's top-two system, where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Longtime incumbent Mike Thompson, a moderate Democrat, faces his strongest primary challenge in years from Eric Jones, a well-funded Democratic contender with experience in venture capital and voter mobilization efforts. Redistricting under Proposition 50 added rural and traditionally conservative counties, altering the electorate. Multiple Republican candidates are also on the ballot, which could fragment opposition votes in the nonpartisan contest. Filing deadlines have passed, leaving little time for additional developments before voters decide the two nominees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,243 交易量
Eric Jones
91%
Mike Thompson
88%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
希斯·富克森
5%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$31,243 交易量
Eric Jones
91%
Mike Thompson
88%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
希斯·富克森
5%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, 2026, operates under the state's top-two system, where the highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Longtime incumbent Mike Thompson, a moderate Democrat, faces his strongest primary challenge in years from Eric Jones, a well-funded Democratic contender with experience in venture capital and voter mobilization efforts. Redistricting under Proposition 50 added rural and traditionally conservative counties, altering the electorate. Multiple Republican candidates are also on the ballot, which could fragment opposition votes in the nonpartisan contest. Filing deadlines have passed, leaving little time for additional developments before voters decide the two nominees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions