Incumbent Mike Thompson faces his most notable Democratic primary challenge in years from Eric Jones in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has incorporated new voters in Northern California areas including Napa and Sonoma counties plus Sacramento suburbs, altering the electorate from prior cycles. Jones, a younger entrepreneur with strong fundraising and endorsements from youth-focused groups, has positioned his campaign around mobilizing newer voters and criticizing establishment approaches. Thompson, a longtime moderate Blue Dog Democrat, benefits from name recognition and institutional support but must consolidate support in the altered district. Multiple Republican candidates and an independent also appear on the ballot, though the contest centers on which two Democrats advance to the general election in the solidly Democratic-leaning seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,245 交易量
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
7%
希斯·富克森
5%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$31,245 交易量
Mike Thompson
95%
Eric Jones
91%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
7%
希斯·富克森
5%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
3%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson faces his most notable Democratic primary challenge in years from Eric Jones in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 4th Congressional District. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 has incorporated new voters in Northern California areas including Napa and Sonoma counties plus Sacramento suburbs, altering the electorate from prior cycles. Jones, a younger entrepreneur with strong fundraising and endorsements from youth-focused groups, has positioned his campaign around mobilizing newer voters and criticizing establishment approaches. Thompson, a longtime moderate Blue Dog Democrat, benefits from name recognition and institutional support but must consolidate support in the altered district. Multiple Republican candidates and an independent also appear on the ballot, though the contest centers on which two Democrats advance to the general election in the solidly Democratic-leaning seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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