Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, commands strong trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, where the largest party typically forms government after crossing the 5% threshold. Recent IRI and CivilNet polls from early March show Civil Contract leading at 24% support amid 30% undecided voters and fragmented opposition—including Strong Armenia at 9%, Armenia Alliance, and Bright Armenia—boosting its path to plurality. Pashinyan's March 30 re-election as party PM candidate and campaign emphasis on peace with Azerbaijan, EU alignment, and distancing from Russia have solidified positioning, though high undecideds and geopolitical tensions leave room for shifts ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於公民契約黨 83%
亞美尼亞聯盟 8%
光明亞美尼亞 4.6%
我有榮譽聯盟 1.7%
$90,378 交易量
$90,378 交易量

公民契約黨
83%

亞美尼亞聯盟
8%

光明亞美尼亞
5%

我有榮譽聯盟
2%

亞美尼亞國民大會
<1%

繁榮亞美尼亞
<1%

Hanrapetutyun黨
<1%

民族遺產黨
<1%

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
<1%
公民契約黨 83%
亞美尼亞聯盟 8%
光明亞美尼亞 4.6%
我有榮譽聯盟 1.7%
$90,378 交易量
$90,378 交易量

公民契約黨
83%

亞美尼亞聯盟
8%

光明亞美尼亞
5%

我有榮譽聯盟
2%

亞美尼亞國民大會
<1%

繁榮亞美尼亞
<1%

Hanrapetutyun黨
<1%

民族遺產黨
<1%

奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市場開放時間: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, commands strong trader consensus as the likely winner of Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, where the largest party typically forms government after crossing the 5% threshold. Recent IRI and CivilNet polls from early March show Civil Contract leading at 24% support amid 30% undecided voters and fragmented opposition—including Strong Armenia at 9%, Armenia Alliance, and Bright Armenia—boosting its path to plurality. Pashinyan's March 30 re-election as party PM candidate and campaign emphasis on peace with Azerbaijan, EU alignment, and distancing from Russia have solidified positioning, though high undecideds and geopolitical tensions leave room for shifts ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions