Recent Washington Post/Schar School polling shows 52% of likely Virginia voters supporting the constitutional amendment on the April 21 special election ballot, which would authorize the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to enact its proposed new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, compared to 47% opposed—a narrow edge amid concerns over opponent motivation in this low-turnout referendum. The Virginia Supreme Court's March 4 ruling cleared the path after earlier legal blocks, while endorsements like Barack Obama's and civil rights leaders' pushback against opposition misinformation have sustained momentum since the legislature's February passage of the 10-1 favoring map. Trader consensus at 78.5% Yes exceeds polling, reflecting optimism on statewide partisan balance arguments despite high early voting in rural GOP areas and historical mid-decade redistricting volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Washington Post/Schar School polling shows 52% of likely Virginia voters supporting the constitutional amendment on the April 21 special election ballot, which would authorize the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to enact its proposed new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, compared to 47% opposed—a narrow edge amid concerns over opponent motivation in this low-turnout referendum. The Virginia Supreme Court's March 4 ruling cleared the path after earlier legal blocks, while endorsements like Barack Obama's and civil rights leaders' pushback against opposition misinformation have sustained momentum since the legislature's February passage of the 10-1 favoring map. Trader consensus at 78.5% Yes exceeds polling, reflecting optimism on statewide partisan balance arguments despite high early voting in rural GOP areas and historical mid-decade redistricting volatility.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
交易量
$214結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Washington Post/Schar School polling shows 52% of likely Virginia voters supporting the constitutional amendment on the April 21 special election ballot, which would authorize the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to enact its proposed new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, compared to 47% opposed—a narrow edge amid concerns over opponent motivation in this low-turnout referendum. The Virginia Supreme Court's March 4 ruling cleared the path after earlier legal blocks, while endorsements like Barack Obama's and civil rights leaders' pushback against opposition misinformation have sustained momentum since the legislature's February passage of the 10-1 favoring map. Trader consensus at 78.5% Yes exceeds polling, reflecting optimism on statewide partisan balance arguments despite high early voting in rural GOP areas and historical mid-decade redistricting volatility.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$214結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Washington Post/Schar School polling shows 52% of likely Virginia voters supporting the constitutional amendment on the April 21 special election ballot, which would authorize the Democrat-controlled General Assembly to enact its proposed new congressional map for the 2026 midterms, compared to 47% opposed—a narrow edge amid concerns over opponent motivation in this low-turnout referendum. The Virginia Supreme Court's March 4 ruling cleared the path after earlier legal blocks, while endorsements like Barack Obama's and civil rights leaders' pushback against opposition misinformation have sustained momentum since the legislature's February passage of the 10-1 favoring map. Trader consensus at 78.5% Yes exceeds polling, reflecting optimism on statewide partisan balance arguments despite high early voting in rural GOP areas and historical mid-decade redistricting volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions