South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, drives trader consensus toward a GOP victory at 84.5%, reflecting long-term incumbency advantages for Rep. Joe Wilson (R), who has held the district since 2001 amid consistent 20-30 point general election margins. The March 30 filing deadline finalized primary entrants for the June 9 primaries, but no high-profile challengers or polling shifts have emerged to alter the baseline, keeping Democratic odds low at 13.5% in this conservative Lexington-Aiken-Richland expanse. Elevated pricing on "Other" (50.5%), "B" (50.0%), and "A" (49.5%) signals trader hedging amid nominee uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$14,527 交易量
$14,527 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
85%
民主黨
14%
$14,527 交易量
$14,527 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$5,385 交易量
85%
民主黨
$9,141 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, drives trader consensus toward a GOP victory at 84.5%, reflecting long-term incumbency advantages for Rep. Joe Wilson (R), who has held the district since 2001 amid consistent 20-30 point general election margins. The March 30 filing deadline finalized primary entrants for the June 9 primaries, but no high-profile challengers or polling shifts have emerged to alter the baseline, keeping Democratic odds low at 13.5% in this conservative Lexington-Aiken-Richland expanse. Elevated pricing on "Other" (50.5%), "B" (50.0%), and "A" (49.5%) signals trader hedging amid nominee uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,527結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, drives trader consensus toward a GOP victory at 84.5%, reflecting long-term incumbency advantages for Rep. Joe Wilson (R), who has held the district since 2001 amid consistent 20-30 point general election margins. The March 30 filing deadline finalized primary entrants for the June 9 primaries, but no high-profile challengers or polling shifts have emerged to alter the baseline, keeping Democratic odds low at 13.5% in this conservative Lexington-Aiken-Richland expanse. Elevated pricing on "Other" (50.5%), "B" (50.0%), and "A" (49.5%) signals trader hedging amid nominee uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,527結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13, drives trader consensus toward a GOP victory at 84.5%, reflecting long-term incumbency advantages for Rep. Joe Wilson (R), who has held the district since 2001 amid consistent 20-30 point general election margins. The March 30 filing deadline finalized primary entrants for the June 9 primaries, but no high-profile challengers or polling shifts have emerged to alter the baseline, keeping Democratic odds low at 13.5% in this conservative Lexington-Aiken-Richland expanse. Elevated pricing on "Other" (50.5%), "B" (50.0%), and "A" (49.5%) signals trader hedging amid nominee uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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