Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+17 Partisan Voter Index, features an open seat after incumbent John Rose announced his gubernatorial bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican victory. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett, who leads fundraising at over $1.1 million, and former Rep. Van Hilleary far outpace Democrats such as Chaney Mosley and Mike Croley, whose combined raises total under $35,000 as of late 2025. No recent polls or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. A GOP nominee weakened by a divisive primary, a major scandal, or an unlikely Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$1,593 交易量
93%
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+17 Partisan Voter Index, features an open seat after incumbent John Rose announced his gubernatorial bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican victory. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett, who leads fundraising at over $1.1 million, and former Rep. Van Hilleary far outpace Democrats such as Chaney Mosley and Mike Croley, whose combined raises total under $35,000 as of late 2025. No recent polls or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. A GOP nominee weakened by a divisive primary, a major scandal, or an unlikely Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$1,593結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+17 Partisan Voter Index, features an open seat after incumbent John Rose announced his gubernatorial bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican victory. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett, who leads fundraising at over $1.1 million, and former Rep. Van Hilleary far outpace Democrats such as Chaney Mosley and Mike Croley, whose combined raises total under $35,000 as of late 2025. No recent polls or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. A GOP nominee weakened by a divisive primary, a major scandal, or an unlikely Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,593結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+17 Partisan Voter Index, features an open seat after incumbent John Rose announced his gubernatorial bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican victory. Strong GOP primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett, who leads fundraising at over $1.1 million, and former Rep. Van Hilleary far outpace Democrats such as Chaney Mosley and Mike Croley, whose combined raises total under $35,000 as of late 2025. No recent polls or scandals have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this positioning ahead of the August 6 primaries and November 3 general election. A GOP nominee weakened by a divisive primary, a major scandal, or an unlikely Democratic midterm wave could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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