In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Republican incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+17 partisan voter index and consistent GOP general election margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Following the March 10 filing deadline, Republican primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett—leading with over $1 million cash on hand—and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising, dwarfing a fragmented Democratic field including 2024 nominee Lore Bergman with under $30,000 combined. The August 6 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health issue, or improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$0 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Republican incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+17 partisan voter index and consistent GOP general election margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Following the March 10 filing deadline, Republican primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett—leading with over $1 million cash on hand—and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising, dwarfing a fragmented Democratic field including 2024 nominee Lore Bergman with under $30,000 combined. The August 6 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health issue, or improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Republican incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+17 partisan voter index and consistent GOP general election margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Following the March 10 filing deadline, Republican primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett—leading with over $1 million cash on hand—and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising, dwarfing a fragmented Democratic field including 2024 nominee Lore Bergman with under $30,000 combined. The August 6 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health issue, or improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Republican incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+17 partisan voter index and consistent GOP general election margins above 30 points in recent cycles. Following the March 10 filing deadline, Republican primary contenders like state Rep. Johnny Garrett—leading with over $1 million cash on hand—and former Rep. Van Hilleary dominate fundraising, dwarfing a fragmented Democratic field including 2024 nominee Lore Bergman with under $30,000 combined. The August 6 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a post-primary GOP scandal, nominee health issue, or improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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