Trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to win Virginia's 6th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting high expectations that voters will approve a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment in the April 21 special referendum, enabling a new congressional map that redraws VA-06 into a competitive battleground favoring the party. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey released within the past day, show a slim 52% yes majority among likely voters amid early voting, though opponents highlight higher motivation in GOP areas. Democrats feature strong primary contenders like Tom Perriello (leading at 37% in a March poll) and well-funded Beth Macy, challenging incumbent Ben Cline (R) ahead of the August 4 primaries. GOP internal disputes in the district add uncertainty, but traders bet heavily on map enactment tipping the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$35,333 交易量
$35,333 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
81%
共和黨
13%
$35,333 交易量
$35,333 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$21,453 交易量
81%
共和黨
$13,881 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to win Virginia's 6th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting high expectations that voters will approve a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment in the April 21 special referendum, enabling a new congressional map that redraws VA-06 into a competitive battleground favoring the party. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey released within the past day, show a slim 52% yes majority among likely voters amid early voting, though opponents highlight higher motivation in GOP areas. Democrats feature strong primary contenders like Tom Perriello (leading at 37% in a March poll) and well-funded Beth Macy, challenging incumbent Ben Cline (R) ahead of the August 4 primaries. GOP internal disputes in the district add uncertainty, but traders bet heavily on map enactment tipping the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,333結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to win Virginia's 6th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting high expectations that voters will approve a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment in the April 21 special referendum, enabling a new congressional map that redraws VA-06 into a competitive battleground favoring the party. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey released within the past day, show a slim 52% yes majority among likely voters amid early voting, though opponents highlight higher motivation in GOP areas. Democrats feature strong primary contenders like Tom Perriello (leading at 37% in a March poll) and well-funded Beth Macy, challenging incumbent Ben Cline (R) ahead of the August 4 primaries. GOP internal disputes in the district add uncertainty, but traders bet heavily on map enactment tipping the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,333結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to win Virginia's 6th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting high expectations that voters will approve a Democratic-proposed constitutional amendment in the April 21 special referendum, enabling a new congressional map that redraws VA-06 into a competitive battleground favoring the party. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey released within the past day, show a slim 52% yes majority among likely voters amid early voting, though opponents highlight higher motivation in GOP areas. Democrats feature strong primary contenders like Tom Perriello (leading at 37% in a March poll) and well-funded Beth Macy, challenging incumbent Ben Cline (R) ahead of the August 4 primaries. GOP internal disputes in the district add uncertainty, but traders bet heavily on map enactment tipping the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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