Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff (R) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to retain Tennessee's 8th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+21 partisan voter index where he won 72% in 2024. Recent candidate filing deadline on March 10 solidified his unopposed Republican primary path on August 6, while Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins report zero fundraising against Kustoff's $2.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor pose minimal threat in the November 3 general. Scenarios to shift odds include a Kustoff scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or surprise high-profile Democratic entrant boosting turnout in this low-competition battleground.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
93%
民主黨
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$6,542 交易量
93%
民主黨
$827 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff (R) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to retain Tennessee's 8th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+21 partisan voter index where he won 72% in 2024. Recent candidate filing deadline on March 10 solidified his unopposed Republican primary path on August 6, while Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins report zero fundraising against Kustoff's $2.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor pose minimal threat in the November 3 general. Scenarios to shift odds include a Kustoff scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or surprise high-profile Democratic entrant boosting turnout in this low-competition battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$7,369結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff (R) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to retain Tennessee's 8th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+21 partisan voter index where he won 72% in 2024. Recent candidate filing deadline on March 10 solidified his unopposed Republican primary path on August 6, while Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins report zero fundraising against Kustoff's $2.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor pose minimal threat in the November 3 general. Scenarios to shift odds include a Kustoff scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or surprise high-profile Democratic entrant boosting turnout in this low-competition battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,369結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. David Kustoff (R) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to retain Tennessee's 8th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+21 partisan voter index where he won 72% in 2024. Recent candidate filing deadline on March 10 solidified his unopposed Republican primary path on August 6, while Democratic primary contenders Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins report zero fundraising against Kustoff's $2.7 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor pose minimal threat in the November 3 general. Scenarios to shift odds include a Kustoff scandal, national Democratic midterm wave, or surprise high-profile Democratic entrant boosting turnout in this low-competition battleground.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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