Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance and incumbent John Carter's 2024 reelection. Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late personal or campaign-altering event involving Carter remains the primary scenario that could materially shift probabilities before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,379 交易量
$45,379 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
$45,379 交易量
$45,379 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$24,918 交易量
93%
民主黨
$20,461 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance and incumbent John Carter's 2024 reelection. Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late personal or campaign-altering event involving Carter remains the primary scenario that could materially shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$45,379結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance and incumbent John Carter's 2024 reelection. Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late personal or campaign-altering event involving Carter remains the primary scenario that could materially shift probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,379結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTexas's 31st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including Donald Trump's 2024 performance and incumbent John Carter's 2024 reelection. Carter secured the Republican nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 60 percent of the vote despite multiple challengers, while Democrat Justin Early advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late personal or campaign-altering event involving Carter remains the primary scenario that could materially shift probabilities before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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