Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D) leads a crowded top-two primary field ahead of California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the safely Democratic CA-34 seat, bolstering trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner. The Los Angeles district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, features four Democratic challengers—Arthur Dixon, Angela Gonzales-Torres, Robert Lucero, and no-party-preference Loren Colin—against the sole Republican, Calvin Lee, who lacks reported fundraising. Gomez's $828,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals, underscoring his incumbency advantage in this Latino-heavy, urban area with a history of lopsided Democratic general election margins, like his 55.6% 2024 win. Upsets could arise from Lee unexpectedly securing second place in the primary or a fractured Democratic nominee vulnerable to a national Republican wave, though structural district partisanship renders such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,861 交易量
$20,861 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
5%
$20,861 交易量
$20,861 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$6,839 交易量
94%
共和黨
$14,022 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D) leads a crowded top-two primary field ahead of California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the safely Democratic CA-34 seat, bolstering trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner. The Los Angeles district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, features four Democratic challengers—Arthur Dixon, Angela Gonzales-Torres, Robert Lucero, and no-party-preference Loren Colin—against the sole Republican, Calvin Lee, who lacks reported fundraising. Gomez's $828,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals, underscoring his incumbency advantage in this Latino-heavy, urban area with a history of lopsided Democratic general election margins, like his 55.6% 2024 win. Upsets could arise from Lee unexpectedly securing second place in the primary or a fractured Democratic nominee vulnerable to a national Republican wave, though structural district partisanship renders such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$20,861結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D) leads a crowded top-two primary field ahead of California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the safely Democratic CA-34 seat, bolstering trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner. The Los Angeles district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, features four Democratic challengers—Arthur Dixon, Angela Gonzales-Torres, Robert Lucero, and no-party-preference Loren Colin—against the sole Republican, Calvin Lee, who lacks reported fundraising. Gomez's $828,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals, underscoring his incumbency advantage in this Latino-heavy, urban area with a history of lopsided Democratic general election margins, like his 55.6% 2024 win. Upsets could arise from Lee unexpectedly securing second place in the primary or a fractured Democratic nominee vulnerable to a national Republican wave, though structural district partisanship renders such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,861結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D) leads a crowded top-two primary field ahead of California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the safely Democratic CA-34 seat, bolstering trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner. The Los Angeles district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, features four Democratic challengers—Arthur Dixon, Angela Gonzales-Torres, Robert Lucero, and no-party-preference Loren Colin—against the sole Republican, Calvin Lee, who lacks reported fundraising. Gomez's $828,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs rivals, underscoring his incumbency advantage in this Latino-heavy, urban area with a history of lopsided Democratic general election margins, like his 55.6% 2024 win. Upsets could arise from Lee unexpectedly securing second place in the primary or a fractured Democratic nominee vulnerable to a national Republican wave, though structural district partisanship renders such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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