US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$198,364 交易量
2026-06-30
Donald Trump
No
J.D. Vance
Yes
Jared Kushner
Yes
Marco Rubio
No
Steve Witkoff
Yes
$198,364 交易量
Donald Trump
$26,817 交易量
No
J.D. Vance
$93,303 交易量
Yes
Jared Kushner
$25,351 交易量
Yes
Marco Rubio
$22,564 交易量
No
Steve Witkoff
$30,329 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$198,364結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$198,364結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions