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icon for Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

icon for Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

$1,358,217 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$1,358,217 交易量

Polymarket

May 1

$22,471 交易量

Yes

May 2

$7,897 交易量

Yes

May 3

$10,878 交易量

Yes

May 4

$16,665 交易量

Yes

May 5

$19,051 交易量

Yes

May 6

$70,171 交易量

Yes

May 7

$89,915 交易量

Yes

May 8

$35,461 交易量

Yes

May 9

$16,549 交易量

Yes

May 10

$13,086 交易量

Yes

May 11

$25,918 交易量

Yes

May 12

$20,739 交易量

Yes

May 13

$22,542 交易量

Yes

May 14

$63,157 交易量

Yes

May 15

$18,250 交易量

Yes

May 16

$9,763 交易量

Yes

May 17

$28,657 交易量

Yes

May 18

$21,764 交易量

Yes

May 19

$11,500 交易量

Yes

May 20

$19,136 交易量

Yes

May 21

$27,971 交易量

Yes

May 22

$22,094 交易量

Yes

May 23

$12,875 交易量

Yes

May 24

$30,410 交易量

Yes

May 25

$13,982 交易量

Yes

May 26

$16,333 交易量

Yes

May 27

$18,414 交易量

Yes

May 28

$479,905 交易量

Yes

May 29

$19,978 交易量

Yes

May 30

$22,717 交易量

Yes

May 31

$149,969 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term communication style features a documented rise in personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric compared to his first term, as shown in analyses of speeches and social media posts. Recent examples include labeling a reporter a "dumb person" during questions on White House projects, introducing the term "Dumocrats" for political opponents, and directing remarks at journalists such as Kaitlan Collins over perceived bias. These incidents align with his established approach of direct public criticism during press interactions, Truth Social activity, and public events. Traders monitoring daily or date-specific resolution markets assess ongoing patterns in his unscripted remarks and social media output, with scheduled appearances or breaking developments potentially influencing the frequency of such statements through June.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,358,217
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second-term communication style features a documented rise in personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric compared to his first term, as shown in analyses of speeches and social media posts. Recent examples include labeling a reporter a "dumb person" during questions on White House projects, introducing the term "Dumocrats" for political opponents, and directing remarks at journalists such as Kaitlan Collins over perceived bias. These incidents align with his established approach of direct public criticism during press interactions, Truth Social activity, and public events. Traders monitoring daily or date-specific resolution markets assess ongoing patterns in his unscripted remarks and social media output, with scheduled appearances or breaking developments potentially influencing the frequency of such statements through June.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,358,217
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 2" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 2" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.