US-mediated peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on full Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and Luhansk—regions it claims near-total control of—as a precondition, while Kyiv demands ironclad security guarantees against future invasion. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal for halting energy strikes was dismissed by the Kremlin as a PR stunt and met with fresh drone attacks, highlighting ongoing escalation despite slowed Russian territorial gains. Talks paused as the Trump administration prioritizes the Iran conflict, and Russia's construction in occupied areas signals no intent to relinquish land. Traders' 73.5% "No" consensus reflects these entrenched positions and lack of breakthroughs, with polls showing limited optimism for lasting peace.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$189,097 交易量
$189,097 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$189,097 交易量
$189,097 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-mediated peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on full Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and Luhansk—regions it claims near-total control of—as a precondition, while Kyiv demands ironclad security guarantees against future invasion. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal for halting energy strikes was dismissed by the Kremlin as a PR stunt and met with fresh drone attacks, highlighting ongoing escalation despite slowed Russian territorial gains. Talks paused as the Trump administration prioritizes the Iran conflict, and Russia's construction in occupied areas signals no intent to relinquish land. Traders' 73.5% "No" consensus reflects these entrenched positions and lack of breakthroughs, with polls showing limited optimism for lasting peace.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$189,097結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-mediated peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on full Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and Luhansk—regions it claims near-total control of—as a precondition, while Kyiv demands ironclad security guarantees against future invasion. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal for halting energy strikes was dismissed by the Kremlin as a PR stunt and met with fresh drone attacks, highlighting ongoing escalation despite slowed Russian territorial gains. Talks paused as the Trump administration prioritizes the Iran conflict, and Russia's construction in occupied areas signals no intent to relinquish land. Traders' 73.5% "No" consensus reflects these entrenched positions and lack of breakthroughs, with polls showing limited optimism for lasting peace.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$189,097結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on full Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas and Luhansk—regions it claims near-total control of—as a precondition, while Kyiv demands ironclad security guarantees against future invasion. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal for halting energy strikes was dismissed by the Kremlin as a PR stunt and met with fresh drone attacks, highlighting ongoing escalation despite slowed Russian territorial gains. Talks paused as the Trump administration prioritizes the Iran conflict, and Russia's construction in occupied areas signals no intent to relinquish land. Traders' 73.5% "No" consensus reflects these entrenched positions and lack of breakthroughs, with polls showing limited optimism for lasting peace.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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